There are two-plus weeks left in the 2023 NFL regular season, and we're inching closer to January with a snapshot of how the 14-team playoff picture could look on the road to Super Bowl LVIII.

The San Francisco 49ers are sitting pretty to get the 1-seed in the NFC, while the Baltimore Ravens are the favorites to get a first-round bye in the AFC. A few teams already have clinched postseason berths, too.

Which teams could sneak into the wild-card round? And which teams' hopes are all but over? We used ESPN's Football Power Index to project the rest of the season, looking at the playoff picture for both conferences, along with odds for the favorites to make the postseason, clinch the division and even make the Super Bowl. We also have seeding projections for the AFC and NFC, so you can see the most likely matchups in each conference, and get an early look at the teams fighting for the No. 1 pick in next year's draft.

Here's everything you need as we get closer to the NFL playoffs (updated Sunday, Dec. 24):

Jump to a section:AFC: Full projections | SeedingNFC: Full projections | SeedingMatchup of the weekRace for the 2024 No. 1 pick

Projecting the AFC playoff field

The Buffalo Bills' postseason chances have skyrocketed after four wins in their past five games. The Pittsburgh Steelers won in Week 16, but FPI only gives them a 9% chance to make the playoffs, which is slightly less than the team they beat, the Cincinnati Bengals, who have a 10% chance.

The Baltimore Ravens and Miami Dolphins have the best chance to get the 1-seed and the first-round bye in the AFC, and the two teams face each other in Baltimore in Week 17. The Dolphins' chances took a hit with their loss on Dec. 11 to the Tennessee Titans, however.

In the wild-card round, the 2-seed hosts the 7-seed, the 3-seed hosts the 6-seed and the 4-seed hosts the 5-seed.

Projecting the NFC playoff field

The Dallas Cowboys' hopes of winning the NFC East took a major hit after their blowout loss to the Buffalo Bills in Week 15. In the South, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won three games in a row and are the clear favorites to take the division.

The San Francisco 49ers now have the inside track to get the 1-seed, which comes with a bye. In the wild-card round, the 2-seed hosts the 7-seed, the 3-seed hosts the 6-seed and the 4-seed hosts the 5-seed.

The Los Angeles Rams now have an 81% chance to make the playoffs but it will most likely come as the 6- or 7-seed, as the Dallas Cowboys are heavy favorites to be the 5-seed.

The one game you should absolutely watch

Can the Tampa Bay Buccaneers continue their winning streak against the Jacksonville Jaguars? The matchup has huge implications for the playoff picture. Heading into the matchup, the Bucs have a 66% chance to win the NFC South, thanks to the New Orleans Saints losing to the Los Angeles Rams on Thursday night.

The race for the No. 1 pick in 2024

The 2024 NFL draft likely will feature two quarterbacks fighting for the No. 1 spot, as Caleb Williams (USC) and Drake Maye (North Carolina) are ESPN's top-ranked prospects. Which teams could take them? After Week 14's results, the picture has become clearer.

The 5-9 Chicago Bears own the 2-12 Carolina Panthers' first-round pick (via last year's pre-draft trade), and that selection has an 82% chance to land at No. 1, according to the FPI. The 3-11 New England Patriots have the second-best odds to snag the top pick.

The 3-11 Arizona Cardinals also have two first-round picks, with the FPI projecting their original selection at No. 3 and the 7-6 Houston Texans' pick (acquired in their move up in April) at No. 21.

NFL playoff schedule

Week 18 games are Jan. 7, then it's on to the postseason. Here's when each round of games will be played:

Jan. 13-15: Wild-card roundJan. 20-21: Divisional roundJan. 28: AFC and NFC championship gamesFeb. 11: Super Bowl LVIII (in Las Vegas)